Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2.828497e-01 3.833002e-01 0.500775 0.646026 0.818513 1.014610 1.252159
2025-11-30 1.635380e-01 2.849923e-01 0.450320 0.681075 0.984158 1.358531 1.845423
2025-12-07 9.207199e-02 2.124750e-01 0.404117 0.703156 1.130717 1.694365 2.467028
2025-12-14 4.852626e-02 1.558923e-01 0.357993 0.708968 1.249980 2.003037 3.079659
2025-12-21 2.237776e-02 1.097060e-01 0.308621 0.693624 1.330551 2.261175 3.640572
2025-12-28 1.042377e-02 8.272275e-02 0.281558 0.705052 1.447680 2.575015 4.292698
2026-01-04 4.008285e-03 6.075113e-02 0.253552 0.705688 1.543428 2.860139 4.916013
2026-01-11 9.152669e-04 4.080621e-02 0.217870 0.680570 1.589187 3.068670 5.435378
2026-01-18 8.832238e-05 2.731158e-02 0.189772 0.662133 1.640956 3.285792 5.973208
2026-01-25 3.163824e-07 1.953902e-02 0.173849 0.665892 1.731273 3.566808 6.615429
2026-02-01 NaN 1.188660e-02 0.148964 0.639932 1.760024 3.746256 7.107151
2026-02-08 NaN 9.311918e-03 0.145753 0.669250 1.899285 4.115335 7.903118
2026-02-15 NaN 6.037645e-03 0.133145 0.670381 1.983934 4.400570 8.585969
2026-02-22 NaN 5.194603e-03 0.137242 0.722095 2.178906 4.885017 9.599908
2026-03-01 NaN 3.911817e-03 0.134890 0.753410 2.332810 5.304091 10.521716
2026-03-08 NaN 2.509072e-03 0.126724 0.763804 2.441767 5.648007 11.332131
2026-03-15 NaN 1.242267e-03 0.112718 0.749801 2.494510 5.892972 11.988351
2026-03-22 NaN 7.089347e-04 0.106869 0.762988 2.609422 6.253686 12.841656
2026-03-29 NaN 3.178561e-04 0.098628 0.764232 2.695863 6.564466 13.618991
2026-04-05 NaN 6.601674e-05 0.084948 0.737949 2.713516 6.747631 14.188267
2026-04-12 NaN 4.702778e-06 0.074107 0.718574 2.745049 6.956629 14.804383
2026-04-19 NaN 1.110028e-08 0.068811 0.722627 2.835092 7.279155 15.618284
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.058282 0.695163 2.841021 7.439431 16.159375